Nations Championship: Argentina vs England team news, analysis and betting tips
England head into Saturday's Nations Championship clash against Argentina looking to complete a successful tour, but Steve Borthwick's latest team selection has once again placed the spotlight on one of his brightest young stars.
Despite Henry Pollock scoring a hat-trick off the bench against Fiji last weekend, the dynamic back-row forward remains among the replacements as England prepare to face Los Pumas at Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero.
While Pollock's omission from the starting XV is likely to dominate discussion, England still field a strong side capable of matching Argentina in what promises to be another physical Test.
Recent debate around Borthwick's preference for continuity over experimentation has only intensified following the team announcement.
Pollock waits again
The biggest talking point is undoubtedly Henry Pollock.
After producing a sensational impact performance against Fiji, many expected the young flanker to earn his first Test start.
Instead, Borthwick has once again opted for experience, selecting Ollie Chessum, Guy Pepper and Ben Earl in the starting back row, while Pollock is held in reserve alongside Tom Curry.
It suggests England once again plan to unleash Pollock's pace and energy during the closing stages rather than asking him to influence the contest from kick-off.
Ben Spencer's inclusion on the bench also comes after Alex Mitchell's injury, giving England an experienced replacement scrum-half for the final quarter.
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England retain a balanced side
Marcus Smith starts once again at full-back behind an exciting back three of Tommy Freeman and Immanuel Feyi-Waboso.
Fin Smith continues at fly-half with Jack van Poortvliet at scrum-half, while Seb Atkinson partners Henry Slade in midfield.
Up front, Jamie George captains an experienced pack featuring Ellis Genge, George Martin, Alex Coles and Ben Earl.
England have largely resisted wholesale changes throughout the Nations Championship, preferring continuity as Borthwick looks to build combinations ahead of the Rugby World Cup.
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Argentina's key threats
Argentina also arrive with a settled side.
Tomas Albornoz remains one of Los Pumas' most influential players at fly-half.
His ability to control territory, attack the line and create opportunities for Santiago Carreras and Mateo Carreras makes him the heartbeat of Argentina's backline.
Captain Julian Montoya again leads the front row, while Guido Petti and Matias Alemanno provide valuable experience in the second row.
Perhaps the most interesting selection comes on the bench.
Veteran Pablo Matera starts among the replacements, suggesting Felipe Contepomi intends to inject fresh physicality and leadership during the final 20 minutes if the match remains in the balance.
That could prove decisive in what is expected to be another fiercely contested encounter.
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Best Bet: England to Win
Odds: 0.75
England have shown steady improvement throughout the tournament and possess greater balance across the park.
Their defensive structure has tightened, while the Smith-van Poortvliet combination continues to settle.
Argentina will make life difficult, particularly through their forward pack and kicking game, but England appear the more complete side.
Value Bet: England by 1–7
Odds: 3.8
Los Pumas are notoriously difficult to beat at home.
Backed by a passionate Santiago del Estero crowd and equipped with a physical pack, Argentina should remain competitive throughout.
That makes a narrow England victory an attractive value play.
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Half-Time/Full-Time
England / England
Odds: 1.1
England have started well in recent Tests and will look to establish control early before Argentina's replacements, led by Matera, begin influencing proceedings.
Match Bet + Totals
England & Under 61.5 Points
Odds: 2.45
This may offer the best value on the board.
Although both sides possess dangerous attacking players, Test matches between England and Argentina are often built around territory, set-piece battles and defensive pressure rather than all-out attack.
Unless the game completely opens up during the second half, a lower-scoring contest appears the more likely outcome.
Bets to approach cautiously
Argentina by 15+
Odds: 5.8
England have become increasingly organised over the past two rounds and are unlikely to allow the contest to become one-sided.
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Over 61.5 Match Points
The market expects the possibility of a high-scoring game, but both sides are built around physicality first.
A tactical arm wrestle feels the more probable outcome.
Prediction
This shapes up as another classic England-Argentina Test.
England possess greater structure and continuity, while Argentina will rely on home support, physicality and the tactical control of Albornoz to keep themselves in the contest.
The biggest storyline remains Pollock's continued role off the bench.
If the game is still finely balanced entering the final quarter, England once again have one of the tournament's most explosive finishers ready to change the momentum.
Best Bets
England to Win(0.75)
England by 1–7 (3.8)
England & Under 61.5 Points (2.45)
Predicted Score: England 29-23 Argentina
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